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European debt crisis

The European debt crisis, often also referred to as the eurozone crisis or the European sovereign debt crisis, was a multi-year debt crisis that took place in the European Union (EU) from 2009 until the mid to late 2010s. Several eurozone member states (Greece, Portugal, Ireland, Spain, and Cyprus) were unable to repay or refinance their government debt or to bail out over-indebted banks under their national supervision without the assistance of third parties like other eurozone countries, the European Central Bank (ECB), or the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The eurozone crisis was caused by a balance-of-payments crisis, which is a sudden stop of the flow of foreign capital into countries that had substantial deficits and were dependent on foreign lending. The crisis was worsened by the inability of states to resort to devaluation (reductions in the value of the national currency) due to having the Euro as a shared currency.[3][4] Debt accumulation in some eurozone members was in part due to macroeconomic differences among eurozone member states prior to the adoption of the euro. The European Central Bank adopted an interest rate that incentivized investors in Northern eurozone members to lend to the South, whereas the South was incentivized to borrow because interest rates were very low. Over time, this led to the accumulation of deficits in the South, primarily by private economic actors.[3][4] A lack of fiscal policy coordination among eurozone member states contributed to imbalanced capital flows in the eurozone,[3][4] while a lack of financial regulatory centralization or harmonization among eurozone states, coupled with a lack of credible commitments to provide bailouts to banks, incentivized risky financial transactions by banks.[3][4] The detailed causes of the crisis varied from country to country. In several countries, private debts arising from a property bubble were transferred to sovereign debt as a result of banking system bailouts and government responses to slowing economies post-bubble. European banks own a significant amount of sovereign debt, such that concerns regarding the solvency of banking systems or sovereigns are negatively reinforcing.[5]


The onset of crisis was in late 2009 when the Greek government disclosed that its budget deficits were far higher than previously thought.[3] Greece called for external help in early 2010, receiving an EU–IMF bailout package in May 2010.[3] European nations implemented a series of financial support measures such as the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) in early 2010 and the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) in late 2010. The ECB also contributed to solve the crisis by lowering interest rates and providing cheap loans of more than one trillion euro in order to maintain money flows between European banks. On 6 September 2012, the ECB calmed financial markets by announcing free unlimited support for all eurozone countries involved in a sovereign state bailout/precautionary programme from EFSF/ESM, through some yield lowering Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT).[6] Ireland and Portugal received EU-IMF bailouts In November 2010 and May 2011, respectively.[3] In March 2012, Greece received its second bailout. Both Spain and Cyprus received rescue packages in June 2012.[3]


Return to economic growth and improved structural deficits enabled Ireland and Portugal to exit their bailout programmes in July 2014. Greece and Cyprus both managed to partly regain market access in 2014. Spain never officially received a bailout programme. Its rescue package from the ESM was earmarked for a bank recapitalisation fund and did not include financial support for the government itself. The crisis has had significant adverse economic effects and labour market effects, with unemployment rates in Greece, Italy and Spain reaching 27%,[7] and was blamed for subdued economic growth, not only for the entire eurozone but for the entire European Union. It had a major political impact on the ruling governments in 10 out of 19 eurozone countries, contributing to power shifts in Greece, Ireland, France, Italy, Portugal, Spain, Slovenia, Slovakia, Belgium, and the Netherlands as well as outside of the eurozone in the United Kingdom.[8]

Q3-2007 until Q4-2007 (duration = 2 quarters)

Q2-2008 until Q1-2009 (duration = 4 quarters, referred to as being part of the )

Great Recession

Q3-2009 until Q4-2013 (duration = 18 quarters, referred to as being part of the eurozone crisis)

Policy reactions[edit]

EU emergency measures[edit]

The table below provides an overview of the financial composition of all bailout programs being initiated for EU member states, since the global financial crisis erupted in September 2008. EU member states outside the eurozone (marked with yellow in the table) have no access to the funds provided by EFSF/ESM, but can be covered with rescue loans from EU's Balance of Payments programme (BoP), IMF and bilateral loans (with an extra possible assistance from the Worldbank/EIB/EBRD if classified as a development country). Since October 2012, the ESM as a permanent new financial stability fund to cover any future potential bailout packages within the eurozone, has effectively replaced the now defunct GLF + EFSM + EFSF funds. Whenever pledged funds in a scheduled bailout program were not transferred in full, the table has noted this by writing "Y out of X".

government debt is more than 80 to 100% of GDP;

non-financial corporate debt is more than 90% of GDP;

private is more than 85% of GDP.

household debt

Ireland – February 2011 – After a high deficit in the government's budget in 2010 and the uncertainty surrounding the proposed bailout from the , the 30th Dáil (parliament) collapsed the following year, which led to a subsequent general election, collapse of the preceding government parties, Fianna Fáil and the Green Party, the resignation of the Taoiseach Brian Cowen and the rise of the Fine Gael party, which formed a government alongside the Labour Party in the 31st Dáil, which led to a change of government and the appointment of Enda Kenny as Taoiseach.

International Monetary Fund

Portugal – March 2011 – Following the failure of parliament to adopt the government austerity measures, PM and his government resigned, bringing about early elections in June 2011.[547][548]

José Sócrates

Finland – April 2011 – The approach to the Portuguese bailout and the EFSF dominated the debate and formation of the subsequent government.[549][550]

April 2011 election

Spain – July 2011 – Following the failure of the Spanish government to handle the economic situation, PM announced early elections in November.[551] "It is convenient to hold elections this fall so a new government can take charge of the economy in 2012, fresh from the balloting," he said.[552] Following the elections, Mariano Rajoy became PM.

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

Slovenia – September 2011 – Following the failure of on measures to combat the economic crisis and the departure of coalition partners, the Borut Pahor government lost a motion of confidence and December 2011 early elections were set, following which Janez Janša became PM.[553] After a year of rigorous saving measures, and also due to continuous opening of ideological question, the centre-right government of Janez Janša was ousted on 27 February 2013 by nomination of Alenka Bratušek as the PM-designated of a new centre-left coalition government.[554]

June referendums

Slovakia – October 2011 – In return for the approval of the EFSF by her coalition partners, PM had to concede early elections in March 2012, following which Robert Fico became PM.

Iveta Radičová

Italy – November 2011 – Following market pressure on government bond prices in response to concerns about levels of debt, the cabinet, of the long-time Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi, lost its majority: Berlusconi resigned on 12 November and four days later was replaced by the technocratic government of Mario Monti.[555]

right-wing

Greece – November 2011 – After intense criticism from within his own party, the opposition and other EU governments, for his proposal to hold a on the austerity and bailout measures, PM George Papandreou of the PASOK party announced his resignation in favour of a national unity government between three parties, of which only two currently remain in the coalition.[45] Following the vote in the Greek parliament on the austerity and bailout measures, which both leading parties supported but many MPs of these two parties voted against, Papandreou and Antonis Samaras expelled a total of 44 MPs from their respective parliamentary groups, leading to PASOK losing its parliamentary majority.[556] The early Greek legislative election, 2012 were the first time in the history of the country, at which the bipartisanship (consisted of PASOK and New Democracy parties), which ruled the country for over 40 years, collapsed in votes as a punishment for their support to the strict measures proposed by the country's foreign lenders and the Troika (consisted of the European Commission, the IMF and the European Central Bank). The popularity of PASOK dropped from 42.5% in 2010 to as low as 7% in some polls in 2012.[557] The radical right-wing, extreme left-wing, communist and populist political parties that have opposed the policy of strict measures, won the majority of the votes.

referendum

Netherlands – April 2012 – After talks between the , CDA and PVV over a new austerity package of about 14 billion euros failed, the Rutte cabinet collapsed. Early elections were called for 12 September 2012. To prevent fines from the EU – a new budget was demanded by 30 April – five different parties called the Kunduz coalition forged together an emergency budget for 2013 in just two days.[558]

VVD

France – May 2012 – The became the first time since 1981 that an incumbent failed to gain a second term, when Nicolas Sarkozy lost to François Hollande.

2012 French presidential election

The handling of the crisis has led to the premature end of several European national governments and influenced the outcome of many elections:

2000s commodities boom

1991 Indian economic crisis

Stock market crashes in India

Corporate debt bubble

Crisis situations and unrest in Europe since 2000

Federal Reserve Economic Data

Great Recession

Great Recession in Europe

List of stock market crashes and bear markets

List of acronyms associated with the eurozone crisis

List of countries by credit rating

List of people associated with the eurozone crisis

The Intervention of ECB in the Eurozone Crisis

Copelovitch, M., Frieden, J., & Walter, S. (2016). . Comparative Political Studies, 49(7), 811–840.

The Political Economy of the Euro Crisis

Foremny, Dirk; von Hagen, Jürgen (2012). . CEPR Discussion Papers. 9154. Centre for Economic Policy Research. SSRN 2155524.

"Fiscal federalism in times of crisis"

Frieden, Jeffry and Stefanie Walter. 2017. "". Annual Review of Political Science.

Understanding the Political Economy of the Eurozone Crisis

; Bang, Henrik; Jensen, Mads Dagnis (March 2015). "'We the People' versus 'We the Heads of States': the debate on the democratic deficit of the European Union" (PDF). Policy Studies. 36 (2): 196–216. doi:10.1080/01442872.2014.1000846. S2CID 154326073.

Nedergaard, Peter

; Snaith, Holly (September 2015). "'As I drifted on a river I could not control': the unintended ordoliberal consequences of the Eurozone crisis". Journal of Common Market Studies. 53 (5): 1094–1109. doi:10.1111/jcms.12249. S2CID 143248038.

Nedergaard, Peter

(2018). Crashed: How a Decade of Financial Crises Changed the World. New York: Viking. ISBN 9780670024933.

Tooze, Adam

Markus K. Brunnermeier, Ricardo Reis. 2019. "A Crash Course on the Euro Crisis" NBER paper

by the Transnational Institute in English (2012) – Italian (2012) – Spanish (2011)

The EU Crisis Pocket Guide

(October 2011 data)

Eurostat – Statistics Explained: Structure of government debt

Economist Magazine, 9 February 2011

Interactive Map of the Debt Crisis

New York Times topic page updated daily.

European Debt Crisis

Economist Intelligence Unit 30 March 2011

Budget deficit from 2007 to 2015

Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung, December 2010 (PDF 625 KB)

Stefan Collignon: Democratic requirements for a European Economic Government

"Creditors can huff but they need debtors", Financial Times, 1 November 2011 7:28 pm.

Wolf, Martin

Center for Economic and Policy Research, February 2012

More Pain, No Gain for Greece: Is the Euro Worth the Costs of Pro-Cyclical Fiscal Policy and Internal Devaluation?

NPR, October 2011

Michael Lewis-How the Financial Crisis Created a New Third World-October 2011

International Monetary Fund, April 2012

Global Financial Stability Report

OECD Economic Outlook-May 2012

"Leaving the Euro: A Practical Guide" by Roger Bootle, winner of the 2012 Wolfson Economics Prize

Center for Economic and Policy Research, January 2013

Macroeconomic Policy Advice and the Article IV Consultations: A European Union Case Study

Paul Blustein, CIGI, March 2015

Over Their Heads: The IMF and the Prelude to the Euro-zone Crisis