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Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds

Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds is an early study of crowd psychology by Scottish journalist Charles Mackay, first published in 1841 under the title Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions.[1] The book was published in three volumes: "National Delusions", "Peculiar Follies", and "Philosophical Delusions".[2] Mackay was an accomplished teller of stories, though he wrote in a journalistic and somewhat sensational style.

Author

United Kingdom

English

Crowd psychology, economic bubbles, history

Richard Bentley, London

1841

Print

The subjects of Mackay's debunking include alchemy, crusades, duels, economic bubbles, fortune-telling, haunted houses, the Drummer of Tedworth, the influence of politics and religion on the shapes of beards and hair, magnetisers (influence of imagination in curing disease), murder through poisoning, prophecies, popular admiration of great thieves, popular follies of great cities, and relics. Present-day writers on economics, such as Michael Lewis and Andrew Tobias, laud the three chapters on economic bubbles.[3]


In later editions, Mackay added a footnote referencing the Railway Mania of the 1840s as another "popular delusion" which was at least as important as the South Sea Bubble. In the 21st century, the mathematician Andrew Odlyzko pointed out, in a published lecture, that Mackay himself played a role in this economic bubble; as a leader writer in The Glasgow Argus, Mackay wrote on 2 October 1845: "There is no reason whatever to fear a crash".[4][5]

Volume I: National Delusions[edit]

Economic bubbles[edit]

The first volume begins with a discussion of three economic bubbles, or financial manias: the South Sea Company bubble of 1711–1720, the Mississippi Company bubble of 1719–1720, and the Dutch tulip mania of the early seventeenth century. According to Mackay, during this bubble, speculators from all walks of life bought and sold tulip bulbs and had even declared futures contracts on them. Allegedly, some tulip bulb varieties briefly became the most expensive objects in the world during 1637.[6] Mackay's accounts are enlivened by colorful, comedic anecdotes, such as the Parisian hunchback who supposedly profited by renting out his hump as a writing desk during the height of the mania surrounding the Mississippi Company.


Two modern researchers, Peter Garber and Anne Goldgar, independently conclude that Mackay greatly exaggerated the scale and effects of the Tulip bubble,[7] and Mike Dash, in his modern popular history of the alleged bubble, notes that he believes the importance and extent of the tulip mania were overstated.[8]

The Crusades

The Witch Mania

The Slow Poisoners

Haunted Houses

Book I: The Alchemysts

Book II: Fortune Telling

Book III: The Magnetisers

Financier credited the lessons he learned from Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds with his decision to sell all of his stock ahead of the Wall Street Crash of 1929.[9]

Bernard Baruch

Kurt Vonnegut's seminal novel, , references the book.

Slaughterhouse-Five

The book was the initial inspiration for 's National Film Board of Canada animated short film John Law and the Mississippi Bubble (1978).[10]

Richard Condie

magazine compared Mackay's descriptions of financial bubbles to the Chinese stock bubble of 2007, claiming that the "emotional feedback loop" that drove the Chinese market was very similar to what Mackay described.[11]

Forbes

borrows from the title in an issue of his popular comic series, The Sandman, in a story featuring a writer whose novel is titled "... And the Madness of Crowds".[12]

Neil Gaiman

Author and executive coach discussed the book in depth in BusinessWeek, drawing extensive parallels between the financial bubbles Mackay wrote about and financial bubbles today.[13] Other writers also frequently point to the book to explain recent financial bubbles.[14][15][16]

Marshall Goldsmith

Financial writer includes the financial mania chapters in his book The Real Price of Everything: Rediscovering the Six Classics of Economics as one of the six great works of economics, along with writings by Adam Smith, Thomas Robert Malthus, David Ricardo, Thorstein Veblen, and John Maynard Keynes.[3]

Michael Lewis

Author and journalist writes a column for New Statesman, "Madness of Crowds", which takes its title from Mackay's book.[17]

Will Self

in The Wisdom of Crowds (2004), takes a different view of crowd behavior, saying that under certain circumstances, crowds or groups may have better information and make better decisions than even the best-informed individual.[18]

James Surowiecki

Canadian author used MacKay as an inspiration for her 2021 novel "The Madness of Crowds."

Louise Penny

American synthpop band released a song titled after the book in 2021.[19] Its vocals are mostly samples of cult leader Jim Jones.

Information Society

The book remains in print, and writers continue to discuss its influence, particularly the section on financial bubbles. (See Goldsmith and Lewis, below.)

Crowd psychology

Groupthink

Irrational exuberance

Moral panic

Pseudodoxia Epidemica

(1999). Tulipomania: The Story of the World's Most Coveted Flower and the Extraordinary Passions It Aroused. New York: Crown Publishers. ISBN 978-0-609-60439-7. OCLC 41967050.

Dash, Mike

Garber, Peter M. (2000). Famous First Bubbles: The Fundamentals of Early Manias. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.  978-0-262-57153-1. OCLC 43552719.

ISBN

Goldgar, Anne (2007). Tulipmania: Money, Honor, and Knowledge in the Dutch Golden Age. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.  978-0-226-30125-9. OCLC 76897793.

ISBN

MacKay, Charles (1980). . New York: Harmony Books. ISBN 978-0-517-54123-4. OCLC 5750576.

Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds (with a foreword by Andrew Tobias, 1841)

Phillips, Tim (2009). Charles Mackay's Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds: A Modern-day Interpretation of a Finance Classic. Oxford: Infinite Ideas.  978-1-905-94091-2.

ISBN

Mackay, Charles (21 October 2008). (Audio Book read by LibriVox volunteers ed.). Librivox.

Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds

at Project Gutenberg

Works by Charles Mackay

Mackay, Charles (1869). . Vol. 1. London: George Routledge and Sons – via The Internet Archive.

Memoirs of extraordinary popular delusions and the madness of crowds

Mackay, Charles (1869). . Vol. 2. London: George Routledge and Sons – via The Internet Archive.

Memoirs of extraordinary popular delusions and the madness of crowds

public domain audiobook at LibriVox

Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds

The book is in the public domain and is available online from a number of sources: