Early solutions[edit]

Luca Pacioli considered such a problem in his 1494 textbook Summa de arithmetica, geometrica, proportioni et proportionalità. His method was to divide the stakes in proportion to the number of rounds won by each player, and the number of rounds needed to win did not enter his calculations at all.[1]


In the mid-16th century Niccolò Tartaglia noticed that Pacioli's method leads to counterintuitive results if the game is interrupted when only one round has been played. In that case, Pacioli's rule would award the entire pot to the winner of that single round, though a one-round lead early in a long game is far from decisive. Tartaglia constructed a method that avoids that particular problem by basing the division on the ratio between the size of the lead and the length of the game.[1] This solution is still not without problems, however; in a game to 100 it divides the stakes in the same way for a 65–55 lead as for a 99–89 lead, even though the former is still a relatively open game whereas in the latter situation victory for the leading player is almost certain. Tartaglia himself was unsure whether the problem was solvable at all in a way that would convince both players of its fairness: "in whatever way the division is made there will be cause for litigation".[2]

Anders Hald: A history of Probability and Statistics and their Applications before 1750. Wiley 2003,  978-0-471-47129-5, p. 35, 54

ISBN

Keith Devlin: The Unfinished Game: Pascal, Fermat, and the Seventeenth-Century Letter that Made the World Modern. Basic Books 2010,  978-0465018963

ISBN

"Pascal's triangle". MathWorld.

Weisstein, Eric W.

The Early Development of Mathematical Probability

Problem of points at MathForum

A very accessible explanation of the problem of points from A Blog on Probability and Statistics.