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Mutual assured destruction

Mutual assured destruction (MAD) is a doctrine of military strategy and national security policy which posits that a full-scale use of nuclear weapons by an attacker on a nuclear-armed defender with second-strike capabilities would result in the complete annihilation of both the attacker and the defender.[1] It is based on the theory of rational deterrence, which holds that the threat of using strong weapons against the enemy prevents the enemy's use of those same weapons. The strategy is a form of Nash equilibrium in which, once armed, neither side has any incentive to initiate a conflict or to disarm.

"Mutually assured destruction" and "Mutual annihilation" redirect here. For the episode of The Americans, see Mutually Assured Destruction (The Americans). For particle–antiparticle annihilation, see Annihilation.

The result is nuclear peace, in which the presence of nuclear weapons decreases the risk of crisis escalation, since parties will seek to avoid situations that could lead to the use of nuclear weapons. Proponents of nuclear peace theory therefore believe that controlled nuclear proliferation may be beneficial for global stability. Critics argue that nuclear proliferation increases the chance of nuclear war through either deliberate or inadvertent use of nuclear weapons, as well as the likelihood of nuclear material falling into the hands of violent non-state actors.


The term "mutual assured destruction", commonly abbreviated "MAD", was coined by Donald Brennan, a strategist working in Herman Kahn's Hudson Institute in 1962.[2] Brennan conceived the acronym cynically, spelling out the English word "mad" to argue that holding weapons capable of destroying society was irrational.[3]

A first strike must not be capable of preventing a retaliatory second strike or else mutual destruction is not assured. In this case, a state would have nothing to lose with a first strike or might try to preempt the development of an opponent's second-strike capability with a first strike. To avoid this, countries may design their nuclear forces to make decapitation strike almost impossible, by dispersing launchers over wide areas and using a combination of sea-based, air-based, underground, and mobile land-based launchers.

Another method of ensuring second strike capability is through the use of or "fail-deadly:" in the absence of ongoing action from a functional command structure—such as would occur after suffering a successful decapitation strike—an automatic system defaults to launching a nuclear strike upon some target. A particular example is the Soviet (now Russian) Dead Hand system, which is a semi-automatic "version of Dr. Strangelove's Doomsday Machine" which, once activated, can launch a second strike without human intervention. The purpose of the Dead Hand system is to ensure a second strike even if Russia were to suffer a decapitation attack, thus maintaining MAD.[59]

dead man's switch

"The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy" from Foreign Affairs, March/April 2006

from the Dean Peter Krogh Foreign Affairs Digital Archives

First Strike and Mutual Deterrence

Herman Kahn's Doomsday Machine

Robert McNamara's "Mutual Deterrence" speech from 1967

Getting MAD: Nuclear Mutual Assured Destruction

Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation

Council for a Livable World

Archived 2018-01-03 at the Wayback Machine Mutual Assured Destruction

Nuclear Files.org

John G. Hines et al. . BDM, 1995.

Soviet Intentions 1965–1985