Katana VentraIP

Ronald Fisher

Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher FRS[5] (17 February 1890 – 29 July 1962) was a British polymath who was active as a mathematician, statistician, biologist, geneticist, and academic.[6] For his work in statistics, he has been described as "a genius who almost single-handedly created the foundations for modern statistical science"[7][8] and "the single most important figure in 20th century statistics".[9] In genetics, Fisher was the one to most comprehensively combine the ideas of Gregor Mendel and Charles Darwin,[10] as his work used mathematics to combine Mendelian genetics and natural selection; this contributed to the revival of Darwinism in the early 20th-century revision of the theory of evolution known as the modern synthesis. For his contributions to biology, Richard Dawkins declared Fisher to be the greatest of Darwin's successors.[11] He is also considered one of the founding fathers of Neo-Darwinism.[12][13] According to statistician Jeffrey T. Leek, Fisher is the most influential scientist of all time based off the number of citations of his contributions.[14]

For the New Zealand cricketer, see Ronald Fisher (cricketer).

Ronald Fisher

Ronald Aylmer Fisher

(1890-02-17)17 February 1890
London, England

29 July 1962(1962-07-29) (aged 72)

Ruth Eileen Guinness (1917)

From 1919, he worked at the Rothamsted Experimental Station for 14 years;[15] there, he analyzed its immense body of data from crop experiments since the 1840s, and developed the analysis of variance (ANOVA). He established his reputation there in the following years as a biostatistician.


Fisher founded quantitative genetics,[16][17] and together with J. B. S. Haldane and Sewall Wright, is known as one of the three principal founders of population genetics.[18] Fisher outlined Fisher's principle, the Fisherian runaway, and sexy son hypothesis theories of sexual selection. As the founder of modern statistics,[19][20] Fisher made countless contributions, including creating the modern method of maximum likelihood and deriving the properties of maximum likelihood estimators,[21] fiducial inference, the derivation of various sampling distributions, founding the principles of the design of experiments, and much more. Fisher's famous 1921 paper alone has been described as "arguably the most influential article" on mathematical statistics in the twentieth century, and equivalent to "Darwin on evolutionary biology, Gauss on number theory, Kolmogorov on probability, and Adam Smith on economics".[22] As a result of his influence and numerous fundamental contributions, Fisher has been described as the "most original evolutionary biologist of the twentieth century" and as the "greatest statistician of all time".[23] His work is further credited with later initiating the Human Genome Project.[24] Fisher also contributed to the understanding of human blood groups.[25]


Fisher has also been praised as a pioneer of the Information Age.[26] His work on a mathematical theory of information ran parallel to the work of Claude Shannon and Norbert Wiener, though based on statistical theory.[27][28][29] A concept to have come out of his work is that of Fisher information.[30]


Fisher held strong views on race and eugenics, insisting on racial differences. Although he was clearly a eugenicist, there is some debate as to whether Fisher supported scientific racism (see Ronald Fisher § Views on race). He was the Galton Professor of Eugenics at University College London and editor of the Annals of Eugenics.[31]

is any parental expenditure (time, energy etc.) that benefits one offspring at a cost to parents' ability to invest in other components of fitness,[90][91]

Parental investment

Stained glass window (now removed) in the dining hall of Caius College, in Cambridge, commemorating Ronald Fisher and representing a Latin square, discussed by him in The Design of Experiments
Fisherian runaway, explaining how the desire for a phenotypic trait in one sex combined with the trait in the other sex (for example a peacock's tail) creates a runaway evolutionary extremizing of the trait.

which explains why the sex ratio is mostly 1:1 in nature.

Fisher's principle

which implies that sexually reproductive value measures the contribution of an individual of a given age to the future growth of the population.[92][93]

Reproductive value

which states that "the rate of increase in fitness of any organism at any time is equal to its genetic variance in fitness at that time."[94]

Fisher's fundamental theorem of natural selection

an evolutionary model of the effect sizes on fitness of spontaneous mutations proposed by Fisher to explain the distribution of effects of mutations that could contribute to adaptive evolution.[95]

Fisher's geometric model

which hypothesizes that females may choose arbitrarily attractive male mates simply because they are attractive, thus increasing the attractiveness of their sons who attract more mates of their own. This is in contrast to theories of female mate choice based on the assumption that females choose attractive males because the attractive traits are markers of male viability.[96]

Sexy son hypothesis

a similarity of one species to another that protects one or both.

Mimicry

a relationship between alleles of one gene, in which the effect on phenotype of one allele masks the contribution of a second allele at the same locus.[97]

The evolution of dominance

[98] which was later found to play a frequent role in genetic polymorphism.

Heterozygote advantage

Demonstrating that the probability of a mutation increasing the of an organism decreases proportionately with the magnitude of the mutation and that larger populations carry more variation so that they have a greater chance of survival.

fitness

Fisher's doctoral students included Walter Bodmer,[2] D. J. Finney, Ebenezer Laing,[3][2] Mary F. Lyon[4] and C. R. Rao.[2] Although a prominent opponent of Bayesian statistics, Fisher was the first to use the term "Bayesian", in 1950.[89] The 1930 The Genetical Theory of Natural Selection is commonly cited in biology books, and outlines many important concepts, such as:


Fisher is also known for:

Eugenics[edit]

In 1911, Fisher became founding Chairman of the University of Cambridge Eugenics Society, whose other founding members included John Maynard Keynes, R. C. Punnett, and Horace Darwin. After members of the Cambridge Society – including Fisher – stewarded the First International Eugenics Congress in London in summer 1912, a link was forged with the Eugenics Society (UK).[118] He saw eugenics as addressing pressing social and scientific issues that encompassed and drove his interest in both genetics and statistics. During World War I Fisher started writing book reviews for The Eugenics Review and volunteered to undertake all such reviews for the journal, being hired for a part-time position.


The last third of The Genetical Theory of Natural Selection focused on eugenics, attributing the fall of civilizations to the fertility of their upper classes being diminished, and used British 1911 census data to show an inverse relationship between fertility and social class, which was partly due, he claimed, to the lower financial costs and hence increasing social status of families with fewer children. He proposed the abolition of extra allowances to large families, with the allowances proportional to the earnings of the father.[119][120][121] He served in several official committees to promote eugenics, including the Committee for Legalizing Eugenic Sterilization which drafted legislation aiming to limit the fertility of "feeble minded high-grade defectives ... comprising a tenth of the total population". It was proposed that this policy would allow for voluntary sterlization and Fisher was against the idea of forced sterilisation.[122][123]


Beginning in 1934, Fisher became disillusioned with the Eugenics Society over concerns that its activities were increasingly aimed in a political rather than scientific direction; he formally dissociated with the Society in 1941.[116]


Fisher wrote a testimony on behalf of the eugenicist Otmar Freiherr von Verschuer. He wrote that, although the Nazis used Verschuer's work to give scientific support for their ideology, it was "[Verschuer's] misfortune rather than his fault that racial theory was a part of the Nazi ideology."[116][124] He conducted extensive correspondence with von Verschuer over decades, which is held at the University of Adelaide.[84]

Recognition[edit]

Appraisal of scientific merits[edit]

Fisher was elected to the Royal Society in 1929, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences in 1934,[125] the American Philosophical Society in 1941,[126] and the United States National Academy of Sciences in 1948.[127] He was made a Knight Bachelor by Queen Elizabeth II in 1952 and awarded the Linnean Society of London Darwin–Wallace Medal in 1958.


He won the Copley Medal and the Royal Medal. He was an Invited Speaker of the ICM in 1924 in Toronto and in 1928 in Bologna.[128]


In 1950, Maurice Wilkes and David Wheeler used the Electronic Delay Storage Automatic Calculator to solve a differential equation relating to gene frequencies in a paper by Ronald Fisher.[74] This represents the first use of a computer for a problem in the field of biology. The Kent distribution (also known as the Fisher–Bingham distribution) was named after him and Christopher Bingham in 1982, while the Fisher kernel was named after Fisher in 1998.[129]


The R. A. Fisher Lectureship was a North American Committee of Presidents of Statistical Societies (COPSS) annual lecture prize, established in 1963, until the name was changed to COPSS Distinguished Achievement Award and Lectureship in 2020. On 28 April 1998 a minor planet, 21451 Fisher, was named after him.[130]


In 2010, the R.A. Fisher Chair in Statistical Genetics was established in University College London to recognise Fisher's extraordinary contributions to both statistics and genetics.


Anders Hald called Fisher "a genius who almost single-handedly created the foundations for modern statistical science",[7] while Richard Dawkins named him "the greatest biologist since Darwin":

A Guide to R. A. Fisher by John Aldrich

University of Adelaide Library for bibliography, biography, 2 volumes of correspondence and many articles

Classics in the History of Psychology for the first edition of Statistical Methods for Research Workers

A collection of Fisher quotations compiled by A. W. F. Edwards