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2021 Taliban offensive

The 2021 Taliban offensive was a military offensive by the Taliban insurgent group and allied militants that led to the fall of the Kabul-based Islamic Republic of Afghanistan and the end of the nearly 20-year War in Afghanistan that had begun following the United States invasion of the country. The Taliban victory had widespread domestic and international ramifications regarding human rights and proliferation of terrorism.[87] The offensive included a continuation of the bottom-up succession of negotiated or paid surrenders to the Taliban from the village level upwards that started following the February 2020 US–Taliban deal.[88][89]

"Taliban summer offensive" redirects here. For the annual Taliban spring offensive, see Afghanistan fighting season. For the 2006 offensive, see 2006 Taliban offensive.

The offensive began on 1 May 2021,[90][91][18] coinciding with the withdrawal of the United States's 2,500 troops in Afghanistan, and those belonging to other international allies.[92] Large numbers of armed civilians, including women, volunteered with the Afghan Army in defense,[93][94][95] while some former warlords, notably Ismail Khan, were also recruited.[96] Despite this, the Taliban managed to make significant territorial gains in the countryside, increasing the number of districts it controlled from 73 to 223 in the first three months of the offensive.[19] On 6 August, the Taliban launched an assault on the provincial capitals, with most of the towns surrendering without a fight,[97] culminating with victories in weeks-long battles of major cities Herat, Kandahar and Lashkargah on 13 August.[98] On 15 August, President Ashraf Ghani fled the country[99] and the Taliban captured the Afghan capital Kabul with only sporadic resistance; thus, the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan's government fell,[100] resulting in the de facto takeover of the country and the reinstatement of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan.[101][102][103] The speed of Taliban's takeover came as a surprise to many, including the governments of the United States and their allies,[104][105][106][107] Russia[108] and the Taliban themselves.[91]


Factors prior to May 2021 included the Taliban's effective use of online social media,[89] its strategic choice of attacking northern provinces,[109][89] and the Taliban's freedom of movement on the main Afghan highways that resulted from the Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF) following the US-recommended strategy of sacrificing rural areas in favour of defending key urban centres.[32][66][89] Factors in the ANSF loss to the Taliban included the February 2020 and April 2021 drops in US support, in which technical, proprietary software and logistics support, in particular aerial support, that the ANSF had been trained to depend on, were suddenly removed.[110][111] Errors in US coalition training of the ANSF were seen as a factor,[111] along with Afghan police extorting locals, military officers funding themselves by inventing ghost soldiers[112] and the months of unpaid ANSF salaries that followed the April 2021 switch in ANSF salary management to Afghan military administration.[113] Cronyism in ANSF military appointments and president Ashraf Ghani's inability to create an effective national consensus and convince local warlords were also seen as key processes of the ANSF's defeat.[110][61][111] Afghans are also more loyal towards their traditional ethnic, tribal and even familial ties than they are to a central government in Kabul, which the provincial Taliban commanders exploited to negotiate surrender of many troops.[114][115] In the long-term, the American invasion of Iraq and its shifting in focus to that region has also been cited as a reason for the Taliban's resurgence in the mid to late 2000s.[116]

Offensive

Initial advances

In May, the Taliban captured 15 districts from the Afghan government, including Nirkh and Jalrez districts in Maidan Wardak Province.[123][124] Among the locations captured was the Dahla Dam in Kandahar Province, Afghanistan's second largest dam.[125] During the month, 405 Afghan National Security Force (ANSF) troops and 260 civilians were killed in clashes, while the Afghan Ministry of Defense claimed to have killed 2,146 Taliban fighters[74][69] including a Taliban divisional commander, Qari Jabar.[29] By the end of May, Portugal, Slovenia, Spain, and Sweden had completely withdrawn their forces from Afghanistan.[126]


In June, the Taliban captured 69 districts from the Afghan government. They entered the cities of Kunduz and Puli Khumri[123][127][92] and besieged Mazar-i-Sharif.[128] Among the locations they captured was Afghanistan's main border crossing with Tajikistan and the Saydabad District in Maidan Wardak Province, which is called the gateway to Afghanistan's capital city, Kabul.[129][130] They captured 700 trucks and Humvees from the Afghan security forces, and dozens of armored vehicles, Boeing Insitu ScanEagle drones and artillery systems.[80][131]


An Afghan Air Force Mil Mi-17 was shot down by the Taliban, killing three pilots, while a UH-60 Black Hawk was damaged on the ground after an outpost belonging to the Afghan Armed Forces was shelled by the Taliban in the same month.[51][79] On 16 June, Taliban fighters executed 22 surrendering Afghan Army commandoes in the town of Dawlat Abad. Among the dead was Major Sohrab Azimi, son of retired General Zahir Azimi. He was posthumously promoted to brigadier general.[132] Eyewitnesses said that the language the Taliban fighters spoke among themselves was foreign, indicating that the fighters were not from the area.[133] During the month, 703 Afghan National Security Forces and 208 civilians were killed in clashes, while the Ministry of Defense claimed to have killed 1,535 Taliban fighters.[74][69] On 19 June, President Ashraf Ghani replaced the Afghan National Army chief of staff, and the defense and interior ministers.[134] By the end of June, all Resolute Support Mission's member countries had withdrawn their troops, except for the UK, Turkey, and the US.

List of invasions in the 21st century

a similar uprising led by Emirate of Afghanistan against the reforms introduced by King Amanullah Khan

Afghan Civil War (1928–1929)

History of the Taliban

Talibanization

List of 2021 Afghanistan attacks

List of terrorist incidents in 2021

War crimes in Afghanistan

War crimes in Afghanistan war (2001-2021)

1975 spring offensive

Final offensive of the Spanish Civil War

by M. Chris Mason

The Strategic Lessons unlearned from Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan: Why the Afghan National Security Forces Will Not Hold, and the Implications for the US Army in Afghanistan