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Probability theory

Probability theory or probability calculus is the branch of mathematics concerned with probability. Although there are several different probability interpretations, probability theory treats the concept in a rigorous mathematical manner by expressing it through a set of axioms. Typically these axioms formalise probability in terms of a probability space, which assigns a measure taking values between 0 and 1, termed the probability measure, to a set of outcomes called the sample space. Any specified subset of the sample space is called an event.

Central subjects in probability theory include discrete and continuous random variables, probability distributions, and stochastic processes (which provide mathematical abstractions of non-deterministic or uncertain processes or measured quantities that may either be single occurrences or evolve over time in a random fashion). Although it is not possible to perfectly predict random events, much can be said about their behavior. Two major results in probability theory describing such behaviour are the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem.


As a mathematical foundation for statistics, probability theory is essential to many human activities that involve quantitative analysis of data.[1] Methods of probability theory also apply to descriptions of complex systems given only partial knowledge of their state, as in statistical mechanics or sequential estimation. A great discovery of twentieth-century physics was the probabilistic nature of physical phenomena at atomic scales, described in quantum mechanics. [2]

 – Branch of statistics

Mathematical Statistics

 – Average value of a random variable

Expected value

 – Statistical measure of how far values spread from their average

Variance

 – System for reasoning about vagueness

Fuzzy logic

 – theory of generalized measures in which the additive property is replaced by the weaker property of monotonicity

Fuzzy measure theory

 – List of definitions of terms and concepts in statistics and probability

Glossary of probability and statistics

 – Function related to statistics and probability theory

Likelihood function

Notation in probability

 – Form of modelling that uses statistics to predict outcomes

Predictive modelling

 – use of probability and logic to deal with uncertain situations

Probabilistic logic

Probabilistic proofs of non-probabilistic theorems

 – Mathematical function for the probability a given outcome occurs in an experiment

Probability distribution

 – Foundations of probability theory

Probability axioms

 – Philosophical interpretation of the axioms of probability

Probability interpretations

 – Mathematical concept

Probability space

 – When the occurrence of one event does not affect the likelihood of another

Statistical independence

 – Physics of large number of particles' statistical behavior

Statistical physics

Subjective logic

 – Set of random variables of which any two are independent

Pairwise independence§Probability of the union of pairwise independent events