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RAND Corporation

The RAND Corporation is an American nonprofit global policy think tank,[1] research institute, and public sector consulting firm. RAND Corporation engages in research and development (R&D) across multiple fields and industries. Since the 1950s, RAND research has helped inform United States policy decisions on a wide variety of issues, including the space race, the Vietnam War, the U.S.-Soviet nuclear arms confrontation, the creation of the Great Society social welfare programs, and national health care.

Not to be confused with American Research and Development Corporation, Remington Rand, Ingersoll Rand, or Sperry Rand.

Predecessor

Spin-off of Project RAND, a former partnership between Douglas Aircraft Company and the United States Air Force until incorporation as a nonprofit and gaining independence from both.

May 14, 1948 (1948-05-14)

95-1958142

Worldwide

  • Jennifer Gould
  • Andrew R. Hoehn
  • Mike Januzik
  • Eric Peltz
  • Melissa Rowe
  • Robert M. Case[2]

Hans Pung[2]

Independent

Increase $351.7 million (2016)[4]

Increase $340.4 million (2016)[4]

$267.7 million (2020)[5]

1,700[6]

The RAND Corporation originated as "Project RAND" (from the phrase "research and development") in the postwar period immediately after World War II.[7][8] The United States Army Air Forces established Project RAND with the objective of investigating long-range planning of future weapons.[9] Douglas Aircraft Company was granted a contract to research intercontinental warfare.[9] Project RAND later evolved into the RAND Corporation, and expanded its research into civilian fields such as education and international affairs.[10] It was the first think tank to be regularly referred to as a "think tank".[1]


RAND receives both public and private funding. Its funding sources include the U.S. government, private endowments,[6] corporations,[11] universities,[11] charitable foundations, U.S. state and local governments, international organizations, and to a small extent, by foreign governments.[11][12]


In 2023, Politico reported that the RAND Corporation was a driving force behind the White House’s new AI reporting requirements after it took more than $15 million in discretionary grants on AI and biosecurity from Open Philanthropy.[13][14]

Overview[edit]

RAND has approximately 1,850 employees. Its American locations include: Santa Monica, California (headquarters); Arlington, Virginia; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania; and Boston, Massachusetts.[15] The RAND Gulf States Policy Institute has an office in New Orleans, Louisiana. RAND Europe is located in Cambridge, United Kingdom; Brussels, Belgium; and Rotterdam, Netherlands.[16] RAND Australia is located in Canberra, Australia.[17]


RAND is home to the Frederick S. Pardee RAND Graduate School, one of eight original graduate programs in public policy and the first to offer a PhD. The program aims to provide practical experience for students, who work with RAND analysts on addressing real-world problems. The campus is at RAND's Santa Monica research facility. The Pardee RAND School is the world's largest PhD-granting program in policy analysis.[18]


Unlike many other programs, all Pardee RAND Graduate School students receive fellowships to cover their education costs. This allows them to dedicate their time to engage in research projects and provides them with on-the-job training.[18] RAND also offers a number of internship and fellowship programs allowing students and others to assist in conducting research for RAND projects. Most of these are short-term independent projects mentored by a RAND staff member.[19]


RAND publishes the RAND Journal of Economics, a peer-reviewed journal of economics.[20]


Thirty-two recipients of the Nobel Prize, primarily in the fields of economics and physics, have been associated with RAND at some point in their career.[21][22]

History[edit]

Project RAND[edit]

RAND was created after individuals in the War Department, the Office of Scientific Research and Development, and industry began to discuss the need for a private organization to connect operational research with research and development decisions.[19] The immediate impetus for the creation of RAND was a fateful conversation in September 1945 between General Henry H. "Hap" Arnold and Douglas executive Franklin R. Collbohm.[23] Both men were deeply worried that ongoing demobilization meant the federal government was about to lose direct control of the vast amount of American scientific brainpower assembled to fight World War II.[23]


As soon as Arnold realized Collbohm had been thinking along similar lines, he said, "I know just what you're going to tell me. It's the most important thing we can do."[24] With Arnold's blessing, Collbohm quickly pulled in additional people from Douglas to help, and together with Donald Douglas, they convened with Arnold two days later at Hamilton Army Airfield to sketch out a general outline for Collbohm's proposed project.[24]


Douglas engineer Arthur Emmons Raymond came up with the name Project RAND, from "research and development".[7] Collbohm suggested that he himself should serve as the project's first director, which he thought would be a temporary position while he searched for a permanent replacement for himself.[7] He later became RAND's first president and served in that capacity until his retirement in 1967.[25]


On 1 October 1945, Project RAND was set up under special contract to the Douglas Aircraft Company and began operations in December 1945.[19][26] In May 1946, the Preliminary Design of an Experimental World-Circling Spaceship was released.

RAND Corporation[edit]

By late 1947, Douglas Aircraft executives had expressed their concerns that their close relationship with RAND might create conflict of interest problems on future hardware contracts. In February 1948, the chief of staff of the newly created United States Air Force approved the evolution of Project RAND into a nonprofit corporation, independent of Douglas.[19]


On 14 May 1948, RAND was incorporated as a nonprofit corporation under the laws of the State of California and on 1 November 1948, the Project RAND contract was formally transferred from the Douglas Aircraft Company to the RAND Corporation.[19] Initial capital for the spin-off was provided by the Ford Foundation.


Since the 1950s, RAND research has helped inform United States policy decisions on a wide variety of issues, including the space race, the Vietnam War, the U.S.-Soviet nuclear arms confrontation, the creation of the Great Society social welfare programs, the digital revolution, and national health care.[27] In the 1970s the Rand Corporation adjusted computer models it was using to recommend closures of fire stations in New York City so that fire stations were closed in the most fire-prone areas, home to Black and Puerto Rican residents, rather than in wealthier, more affluent neighborhoods.[28]


RAND contributed to the doctrine of nuclear deterrence by mutually assured destruction (MAD), developed under the guidance of then-Defense Secretary Robert McNamara and based upon their work with game theory.[29] Chief strategist Herman Kahn also posited the idea of a "winnable" nuclear exchange in his 1960 book On Thermonuclear War. This led to Kahn's being one of the models for the titular character of the film Dr. Strangelove, in which RAND is spoofed as the "BLAND Corporation".[30][31]


Even in the late 1940s and early 1950s, long before Sputnik, the RAND project was secretly recommending to the US government a major effort to design a human-made satellite that would take photographs from space and the rockets to put such a satellite in orbit.[32]


RAND was not the first think tank, but during the 1960s, it was the first to be regularly referred to as a "think tank".[1] Accordingly, RAND served as the "prototype" for the modern definition of that term.[1]

and potential nuclear conflict[42][43][44][45]

Cold War

[46][47][48][49]

City government

[50][51][52][53]

Vietnam War

[54][51][52]

Transparency in government

[55]

National health insurance

[56]

Alcoholism

[57]

Auto insurance

[50][58]

Iraq War

[59][60][61]

Gun control

Almost since its inception, the RAND Corporation has been involved in controversial issues—and its reports, recommendations and influence have been the subject of extensive public debate and controversy. Among these have been:


In December 2023, the RAND Corporation was designated as "undesirable" in Russia.[62]


In October 2023, the RAND Corporation was accused of being part of a "sprawling network" across Washington, DC that was "pushing policymakers to put AI apocalypse at the top of the agenda — potentially boxing out other worries and benefiting top AI companies with ties to the network."[2]


In December 2023, the House Science Committee sent a bipartisan letter[63] to the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) raising concerns over it's "choice to partner with RAND, given the think tank’s affiliation with Open Philanthropy and increasing focus on existential AI risks."[3]


In December 2023, Politico reported that "Researchers from the RAND Corporation — which took more than $15 million this year from a group financed by a Facebook co-founder — were a driving force behind the White House’s sweeping new AI reporting requirements."[4]


In January, 2024, a Wall Street Journal commentary raised concerns about the influence of Open Philanthropy and the larger Effective Altruist movement on the think tank's research on AI.[64]

: General of the Air Force, United States Air Force

Henry H. "Hap" Arnold

: economist, won the Nobel Prize in Economics, developed the impossibility theorem in social choice theory

Kenneth Arrow

: V.P., physicist, mathematician and space scientist

Bruno Augenstein

: mathematician, game theorist, won the Nobel Prize in Economics.

Robert Aumann

: Chairman of the Board, 1972–1981

J. Paul Austin

: one of the developers of packet switching which was used in ARPANET and later networks like the Internet

Paul Baran

: Mathematician known for his work on dynamic programming

Richard Bellman

: economist and President of the Hebrew University of Jerusalem

Yoram Ben-Porat

: worked in interactive computer graphics with the RAND Corporation in the 1960s and had helped define the ARPANET in the early phases of that program[66]

Barry Boehm

: physicist, leading nuclear weapons effects expert

Harold L. Brode

: Military strategist and nuclear architect

Bernard Brodie

: inventor of the neutron bomb in 1958[67]

Samuel Cohen

: Aviation engineer, Douglas Aircraft Company, RAND founder and former director and trustee.[68]

Franklin R. Collbohm

: astronaut

Walter Cunningham

: mathematician, creator of the simplex algorithm for linear programming

George Dantzig

: educational researcher, co-director, School Redesign Network

Linda Darling-Hammond

: mathematician, pioneering planetary scientist

Merton Davies

: Senior International Defense Research Analyst[69]

Michael H. Decker

Stephen H. Dole: Author of the book [70][71] and head of Rand's Human Engineering Group[72]

Habitable Planets for Man

: President, Douglas Aircraft Company, RAND founder

Donald Wills Douglas, Sr.

: philosopher and critic of artificial intelligence

Hubert Dreyfus

: Chairman of the Board, 2009–present, former publisher, The Wall Street Journal; Former Senior Vice President, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

Karen Elliott House

: economist and leaker of the Pentagon Papers

Daniel Ellsberg

: economist, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense from 1961 to 1965, Assistant Secretary of Defense for Systems Analysis from 1965 to 1969

Alain Enthoven

political scientist, National Security Council senior director

Stephen J. Flanagan

: academic and author of The End of History and the Last Man

Francis Fukuyama

: Chairman of the Board, 1949–1959, 1960–1961; known for the Gaither Report.

Horace Rowan Gaither

French officer and scholar

David Galula

: cryptographer and computer scientist

James J. Gillogly

: political scientist and national security scholar, affiliated 1964–79, program director 1973–76[73]

Paul Y. Hammond

: developed the REDUCE computer algebra system, the oldest such system still in active use;[74] co-founded the CSNET computer network

Anthony C. Hearn

: US nuclear policy researcher

Fred Iklé

: terrorism expert, Senior Advisor to the President of the RAND Corporation, and author of Unconquerable Nation

Brian Michael Jenkins

: theorist on nuclear war and one of the founders of scenario planning

Herman Kahn

Amrom Harry Katz

: research analyst and author, co-wrote open letter to U.S. government in 1969 recommending withdrawal from Vietnam war[75]

Konrad Kellen

: U.S. ambassador to United Nations

Zalmay Khalilzad

: United States Secretary of State (1973–1977); National Security Advisor (1969–1975); Nobel Peace Prize Winner (1973)

Henry Kissinger

: Chairman of the Board, April 2004 – 2009; Chairman Emeritus, The Aspen Institute

Ann McLaughlin Korologos

: United States Vice-president Dick Cheney's former Chief of Staff

Lewis "Scooter" Libby

: Former ambassador, governor

Ray Mabus

: economist, greatly advanced financial portfolio theory by devising mean variance analysis, Nobel Prize in Economics

Harry Markowitz

: military strategist, director of the U.S. DoD Office of Net Assessment

Andrew W. Marshall

: selected as president and CEO of The RAND Corporation in 2022[76]

Jason Gaverick Matheny

: U.S. anthropologist

Margaret Mead

: former Google CIO & President of EMI's digital music division

Douglas Merrill

: Chairman of the board, 1970–1972

Newton N. Minow

: mathematician, known for his work in differential topology

John Milnor

: Bible Teacher, Engineer, chairman and CEO Western Digital

Chuck Missler

: Chairman of the board, 1986–1995

Lloyd Morrisett

: mathematician, won the Nobel Prize in Economics

John Forbes Nash, Jr.

: mathematician, pioneer of the modern digital computer

John von Neumann

: artificial intelligence

Allen Newell

: Chairman of the board, 1997–2000

Paul O'Neill

: winner of the 2006 Nobel Prize in Economics

Edmund Phelps

: Chief engineer, Douglas Aircraft Company, RAND founder

Arthur E. Raymond

: former intern, former trustee (1991–1997), and former Secretary of State for the United States

Condoleezza Rice

: RAND President and chief executive officer, 1 November 2011–5 July 2022

Michael D. Rich

: academic and humorist, helped set up the social sciences division of RAND[77]

Leo Rosten

: programmer trainee, Oscar-winning producer of The Godfather and Million Dollar Baby

Albert S. Ruddy

: Chairman of board from 1981 to 1986; 1995–1996 and secretary of defense for the United States from 1975 to 1977 and 2001 to 2006.

Donald Rumsfeld

: advocate of the vactrain maglev train concept

Robert M. Salter

: economist, Nobel Prize in Economics

Paul Samuelson

: economist, won the 2005 Nobel Prize in Economics

Thomas C. Schelling

: former secretary of defense and former secretary of energy

James Schlesinger

: lawyer, businessman and CEO of LRN

Dov Seidman

: mathematician, co-author of the Rice–Shapiro theorem, MH Email and RAND-Abel co-designer

Norman Shapiro

: mathematician and game theorist, won the Nobel Prize in Economics

Lloyd Shapley

: inventor of the linked list and co-author of the first artificial intelligence program

Cliff Shaw

: former Director of the Pentagon's Office of Special Plans[78]

Abram Shulsky

: Political scientist, psychologist, won the 1978 Nobel Prize in Economics

Herbert Simon

: Deputy National Security Advisor to Bill Clinton

James Steinberg

: Chairman Emeritus of Tata Sons[79]

Ratan Tata

: RAND president and CEO, 1989 – 31 October 2011

James Thomson

: JOHNNIAC co-designer, and early computer privacy pioneer

Willis Ware

: Chairman of the Board, 1959–1960

William H. Webster

: economist, won the 2009 Nobel Prize in Economics

Oliver Williamson

: mathematician and Cold War strategist

Albert Wohlstetter

: policy analyst and military historian

Roberta Wohlstetter

: former researcher[80]

Ariane Tabatabai

(published by RAND)

A Million Random Digits with 100,000 Normal Deviates

(also published by RAND)

Truth Decay

. Soldiers of Reason: The RAND Corporation and the Rise of the American Empire (2008, Houghton Mifflin Harcourt hardcover; ISBN 0-15-101081-1 / 2009, Mariner Books paperback reprint edition; ISBN 0-15-603344-5).

Alex Abella

. Rationalizing Capitalist Democracy: The Cold War Origins of Rational Choice Liberalism (2003, University of Chicago Press paperback; ISBN 0-226-01654-4 / hardcover; ISBN 0-226-01653-6).

S.M. Amadae

. Cold War Laboratory: RAND, the Air Force, and the American State, 1945–1950 (2002, Smithsonian Institution Scholarly Press hardcover, part of the Smithsonian History of Aviation and Spaceflight Series; ISBN 1-58834-086-4)

Martin J. Collins

Joe Flood. The Fires: How a Computer Formula Burned Down New York City—and Determined the Future of American Cities, 2010, Riverhead Books,  1-59448-898-3, 9781594488986—summarized at: GoodReads.com, and reviewed at: GoodReads.com (by Rob Kitchin), and at Accounts, (newsletter of the Economics section of the American Sociological Association), Vol. XV, Issue 2, Spring 2016, page 32.

ISBN

. The Worlds of Herman Kahn: The Intuitive Science of Thermonuclear War (2005, Harvard University Press; ISBN 978-0-674-01714-6)

Sharon Ghamari-Tabrizi

and Thomas P. Hughes (editors). Systems, Experts, and Computers: The Systems Approach in Management and Engineering, World War II and After (2000, The MIT Press hardcover, part of the Dibner Institute Studies in the History of Science and Technology; ISBN 0-262-08285-3 / 2011, paperback reprint edition; ISBN 0-262-51604-7).

Agatha C. Hughes

David Jardini. Thinking Through the Cold War: RAND, National Security and Domestic Policy, 1945–1975 (2013, Smashwords; Amazon Kindle;  978-1-301-15851-5).

ISBN

. The Wizards of Armageddon (1983, Simon & Schuster hardcover, first printing; ISBN 0-671-42444-0 / 1991, Stanford University Press paperback, part of the Stanford Nuclear Age Series; ISBN 0-8047-1884-9).

Fred Kaplan

and Wayne I. Boucher (editors), Systems Analysis and Policy Planning: Applications in Defense (1968, American Elsevier hardcover).

Edward S. Quade

. The RAND Corporation: Case Study of a Nonprofit Advisory Corporation (1966, Harvard University Press / 1969; ISBN 0-674-74850-6).

Bruce L.R. Smith

. History and Strategy (1991, Princeton University Press paperback; ISBN 0-691-02343-3 / hardcover; ISBN 0-691-07881-5).

Marc Trachtenberg

. La Rand Corporation (2013, Cestudec Press)

Jean Loup Samaan

Official website

at Curlie

RAND Corporation

from the Smithsonian Institution Archives

The Research and Development (RAND) Corporation